Episode 18
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Posted:
Wed Aug 23, 2017 3:46:05 am
by Nate Gonzales
So, congrats on making the Final Five!
Now, with two tribals away from the Final Tribal Council, do you think your biggest challenge is going to be MAKING final tribal council or WINNING final tribal council?
How do you plan on doing so?
Re: Episode 18
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Posted:
Wed Aug 23, 2017 6:52:23 am
by Ozzy
So, congrats on making the Final Five!
Well I've matched my placement in Allies. That's pretty cool. Especially since I thought I was fucking toast when the merge began. This has been a long ass game.
Now, with two tribals away from the Final Tribal Council, do you think your biggest challenge is going to be MAKING final tribal council or WINNING final tribal council?
I think at this point it's MAKING final tribal. I still think it's going to be work to win once I'm there, but I need to focus on making it there first. This is where I fucked up last time. I just can't fuck up again. If I lose this round, it won't be the worst thing and I can point to mistakes I made. But if I can survive this round only to go out at F4... man I'll be devastated. I'd rather get to F3 and have people roast me while I'm up there then leave at F4. That's the worst position to leave at. So fucking close and couldn't do it. Ugh.
How do you plan on doing so?
Great fucking question, Nate. Let's look to how I think the jury perceives winner chances.
Cass > Ozzy > Yul > Rory > Sarah (although Rory and Sarah could swap places with the right arguments) (and in my mind Cass and I could swap placements too)
Basically you have two threats (Cass and I) vs three people with arguments, Yul probably has the strongest for voting correctly the most and (if he can get Cass and I out) for taking out the three largest threats at the end. And honestly the whole thing on me making it to even F4 rides on Yul/Rory/Sarah not joining together these next two rounds. Which is exactly why I didn't want Andrea gone and wanted Sarah gone, if Sarah had left and Andrea stayed it could've been an easier time this round pitting Andrea and Cass against each other. In my opinion at least.
So this round rides on a few things:
1. Cass bringing me to F4. That's KEY here. I think she would stand a better chance with me there as an easy option to target later. She would have an edge in challenges anyway since I've been shit in the last however many.
1A. Cass could also say fuck it and put all her money on winning the FIC. If she takes me out now, she has a leg up on literally all the others by a pretty long shot. But there's always a chance she fucks up and then she's guaranteed toast. So it depends on what she thinks are better odds for her.
2. Yul/Rory/Sarah cannot team up here. Even if they were to target Cass, I would be prime for the F4 boot so they could all have a shot. So it's shitty for me, but also maybe I have a better shot at final immunity with Cass gone? That's a huge risk.
2A. I gave Yul/Rory basically a free pass to the finals. Cass and I would target each other at F4 anyway knowing the other is a bigger threat to the whole game, we've played together most of this season and would share points in the vote outs. So if they believe we'll go after each other at F4 (which is honestly true) then they have literally a free pass to the finals.
2AA. What I can't have them understand is that they have a free pass to the finals by teaming up with Sarah too. See point #2 above. So if I can get them to believe Cass would cut one of them (Yul) to have Rory and Sarah next to her, then maybe Yul takes this option.
I need to try my fucking hardest in the next two challenges. If I pull those off, I have a great shot at actually winning. Pending jury bitterness/anger/whatever obviously. Which, can I just say, if people are going to be angry that I "broke a rule" that everyone technically broke anyway and took out Ashley over Rory, they can fuck themselves. Why would anyone take a legit player, someone who is an idol ~kween~, who has connections/shields/allies everywhere, over the person who was rolling over and dying? I mean come on, that argument is busted.
Fuck I'm so goddamn close to this. I just need things to go over well.