Episode 14

Posted:
Thu Aug 17, 2017 5:06:34 am
by Nick Maiorano
Well we're getting down to the nitty gritty. Everyone looking to position themselves for the W. Some trying to avoid the target, some looking to make themselves a bigger target thus have a reason for the jury to vote for them. Which camp are you in?
What is your clear path to the final and what are the other options out there?
Re: Episode 14

Posted:
Thu Aug 17, 2017 9:33:52 am
by Cassandra
Andrea, Rudy, Ozzy, and Rory the first to do the challenge? Yeah, nah, with questions like "Who is the favorite to win?", "Who's the most liked?", and--who can forget--"Who sucks the most?" in the mix I'll wait for everyone else to go first, and then measure how tribe dynamics were at the time they went.
As tribe dynamics stand now, Sarah and Lil are pissed. Well, if Lil is to be believed, she's not pissed anymore. She even made the group chat with me and Ozzy finally! After telling Andrea she wanted Ozzy out. NICE! But I do think things with me and her are as patched up as they can be. I told her how Vytas was gunning for her, Sarah, and Mia, and that Andrea approached us five to blindside him. My real selling point was, "When someone like Andrea tells you they want their #1 ally out, you don't pass up that opportunity, and you don't risk her never making a move like that again by letting her see an extra vote." Did she buy it? Probably not fully, no. Sarah hasn't said anything to me. Mia was real supportive of the move.
Here's the thing, though. Everyone thinks Mia has two idols now. I know she has one. What to do with that information, I have no idea yet. But it's "the thing." I could make Mia out to be a bigger threat than she is. I could work some 4D chess on the other side to account for a "double idol play." I could tell her to play her idol right before a vote, and then people will still think she has another. I dunno, there are possibilities.
That's the theme this round. Possibilities. And I ain't talking no Campbell's chicken noodle soup. Rudy, Yul, and Andrea want one of Lil/Sarah gone (leaning toward Lil). Lil pitched Ozzy's name, but is probably backtracking on that right now. Ozzy and Andrea both think I'm their #2. Andrea actually wants to go to F3 with the both of us. Not gonna happen, but that three can stay tight for a few rounds longer. Lil made a Faroe Fucks 2.0 (and I don't think it's a ploy). Mia doesn't really have a #2 so I could step in there maybe. Rory seems weirdly indebted to me and I'm not sure why. And, most importantly, I haven't heard my name come up since Tianguan 3.0.
There are a few things that need to happen before FTC, though:
- Andrea goes home
- Rudy goes home
- Ozzy goes home
Preferably in that order, as it seems to be the easiest route in terms of convincing people (maybe switch Andrea and Rudy?). Andrea would beat me. Whether Rudy or Ozzy beat me, I'm not sure, but I don't want to take the chance. And it would be pretty easy to convince people that they're the two biggest threats after Andrea leaves. But that's 3 outta 9. 3 more people to boot there out of Rory/Yul/Mia/Sarah/Lil/me.
I'm not booting me. Let's make that clear. Rory could be a compromise boot toward the end, since getting the clear biggest goat out would make space for everyone. Mia could be targeted for the idols. F4 with Yul, Sarah, Lil? I could maybe win immunity there. That's another thing I'm neglecting: challenge strength. Mia, Ozzy, and Andrea are all pretty strong at challenges. It'd be best to vote them sooner than later.
I think the play next round is to boot Sarah, Mia, or Lil while having the other two in our back pocket after. Which is fucking tough. I would think Sarah's the boot then. Lil presumably wants a thing with me and Ozzy. Mia would be willing to work with me if it means booting Andrea later, and I don't really want her going while people think she has Brenda's idol (although Vytas kind of saved the day there speculating that she'd pass it off to Sarah; and if Sarah's gone I can point the finger at Lil). Ozzy and I have the greatest chance of teaming up with Lil, Mia, and Rory next round if it means booting Andrea. Maybe Rudy and Yul would be down, though? I dunno, I gotta talk with him about this timeline.
Dang!!!!!!!! This is a toughie. I'll end with this: Andrea publicly implying that she orchestrated this Vytas blindside is gonna make voting her off a lot easier--for me and for others.
Re: Episode 14

Posted:
Thu Aug 17, 2017 10:09:45 pm
by Cassandra
Liliana wrote:i mean... i hate to say this about my own ally, but seriously. he has us. he has yul and rudy. and he's a great social gamer. he's in the middle of two tight threesomes and though we're working with him, it really could help us to take out one of his other allies so come the time, he doesn't have to choose between us. we just need to cut off that other rope and take him in FULLY for ourselves. and like you said, they share EVERYTHING with each other. they're attached at the hip. are there any other pairs left like that??
Little Freudian slip there?
Re: Episode 14

Posted:
Thu Aug 17, 2017 10:45:29 pm
by Cassandra
Alright, listen up, bubs, because I'm about to make the best play of this game.
10:00am: Lil suggests Mia to me and Ozzy.
10:30am: Andrea confirms that Lil is still pitching Ozzy to her.
12:00pm: I push the Mia having TWO idols thing so that she's the priority to vote out.
12:30pm: Yul/Rudy consider splitting the votes Mia/Sarah.
1:00pm: Sarah messages me for help.
1:05pm: Knowing from Lil that she and Mia have feuded these past couple rounds, I ask if she's okay with booting Mia, and she says yes.
1:10pm: Sarah pitches a F4 deal with me/her/Ozzy/Lil.
1:15pm: I tell Andrea/Yul/Rudy about her pitch, letting them know I'm not taking it seriously.
1:30pm: Sarah and Lil suggest using Yul as a decoy boot, so he goes home in case Mia uses the idol.
1:45pm: I tell them that I'm not sure Ozzy will go for that, and suggest using Rory instead so that we can fill Ozzy in on the vote.
1:46pm: They agree.
2:00pm: I give Ozzy the greatest fucking plan ever conceived.
We tell Andrea/Yul/Rudy to vote Sarah, pitching it as a vote split. He, Rory, and I vote Mia. We tell Sarah and Lil after that they split the votes without telling us.
If(Sarah/Lil == truth && Mia != plays the idol)
then --> 5 Mia, 3 Sarah, 1 Rory (Mia goes home)
If(Sarah/Lil == truth && Mia == plays the idol)
then --> 5 Mia, 3 Sarah, 1 Rory (Sarah goes home)
If(Sarah/Lil != truth && Mia != plays the idol)
then --> 3 Mia, 3 Sarah, 3 whoever Sarah/Lil/Mia vote for --> 6 Mia/Sarah, 3 whoever Sarah/Lil/Mia vote for (Mia/Sarah goes home)
If(Sarah/Lil != truth && Mia == plays the idol)
then --> 3 Mia, 3 Sarah, 3 whoever Sarah/Lil/Mia vote for --> 6 Sarah, 3 whoever Sarah/Lil/Mia vote for (Sarah goes home)
It's FUCKING golden.
Re: Episode 14

Posted:
Thu Aug 17, 2017 10:52:47 pm
by Cassandra
Oh, what's that? That's not absolutely fucking fool-proof enough for you?
Don't worry, just told Ozzy to play his fake idol on Mia so that she doesn't play her idol.
ALL I DO IS WIN WIN WIN NO MATTER WHAT
Re: Episode 14

Posted:
Thu Aug 17, 2017 11:11:41 pm
by Cassandra
Editor's Note: Those times are made-up, but the order is correct.
Re: Episode 14

Posted:
Fri Aug 18, 2017 2:42:35 am
by Cassandra
scared about rory tbqh
but if he votes with lil/sarah/mia, i doubt it's me leaving